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US Recession Risk Meter Hits Record High of 40%

Shubhransh Rai
Wall Street Gradient
4 min read4 days ago

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JP Morgan is basically confirming the arrival of an impending doom

The Markets Are Bleeding — And Trump’s Tariffs Might Be the Knockout Punch

Wall Street has been in freefall. Monday was a bloodbath. Tuesday? More of the same. The S&P 500 can’t find a floor. Investors are rattled. And now, JPMorgan Chase is warning there’s a 40% chance the U.S. slips into a recession this year.

That number jumps to 50% in April if Trump’s tariff escalation goes through — a move that could blow up global trade and sink the economy.

The market sees what’s coming. The question is: Does Trump?

Confidence in Trump’s Economic Playbook Is Plummeting

A new poll just dropped. The results? 56% of Americans disapprove of Trump’s economic policies. That’s a record low.

During his first term, the economy was his golden ticket — the one thing voters trusted him on. But now? The playbook isn’t working.

  • Tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada are stalling trade.
  • Wall Street is in the red.
  • Job cuts are accelerating.
  • And the deficit? Somehow still growing.

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Wall Street Gradient
Wall Street Gradient

Published in Wall Street Gradient

Medium’s First and finest daily stock market Insights platform, covering news from all over the globe with a focus on the Western Hemisphere.

Shubhransh Rai
Shubhransh Rai

Written by Shubhransh Rai

Editor in Chief - Wall Street Gradient || Editor in Chief- Quantum Information Review

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