Member-only story
US Recession Risk Meter Hits Record High of 40%
JP Morgan is basically confirming the arrival of an impending doom

The Markets Are Bleeding — And Trump’s Tariffs Might Be the Knockout Punch
Wall Street has been in freefall. Monday was a bloodbath. Tuesday? More of the same. The S&P 500 can’t find a floor. Investors are rattled. And now, JPMorgan Chase is warning there’s a 40% chance the U.S. slips into a recession this year.
That number jumps to 50% in April if Trump’s tariff escalation goes through — a move that could blow up global trade and sink the economy.
The market sees what’s coming. The question is: Does Trump?
Confidence in Trump’s Economic Playbook Is Plummeting
A new poll just dropped. The results? 56% of Americans disapprove of Trump’s economic policies. That’s a record low.
During his first term, the economy was his golden ticket — the one thing voters trusted him on. But now? The playbook isn’t working.
- Tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada are stalling trade.
- Wall Street is in the red.
- Job cuts are accelerating.
- And the deficit? Somehow still growing.